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Farmers expect stable rapeseed-mustard prices for the next crop

AHMEDABAD: With the sowing of mustard in Punjab beginning from mid October to November agriculture scientist at the Punab Agriculture University (PAU)predict prices to remain stable.

"The estimated higher global and domestic oilseeds production due to higher acreage and favorable weather conditions is likely to keep rapeseed-mustard prices stable during the coming marketing season, "said Dr Jagrup Singh Sidhu, in charge, Agricultural Market Intelligence Centre (AMIC), Department of Economics and Sociology, PAU. He added that zero import tariffs on edible oils would continue to encourage sufficient imports of palm and other edible oils which is likely to increase by 4 %to reach 9 million tons.

Mustard, one of the most important oilseed crops in India, contributes around 35% in total vegetable oil production to the country. "As part of our research we expect prices in the range of Rs 2250-2450 per quintal during April and May, 2012, depending on the government edible oil import policy and trends in the international edible oil prices,"said Dr Sidhu. Market prices of rapeseed-mustard in the major growing states ruled between Rs. 2250-2700 during 2010-11. The government increased the minimum support price of mustard from Rs 1850 to Rs 2120 per quintal for the marketing season 2011-12.

The centre also wish to add that mustard oil is the third most important edible oil produced in the world after soy oil and palm oil, said Dr Sidhu, revealing that the global oilseed supplies and ending stocks for the year 2010-11 are estimated higher due to increase in production by 2.8 million tons at 447 million tons. However, the world production of rapeseed-mustard is estimated to decline during 2010-2011 from 60.5 million tons to 57.2 million tons due to lower crops in major mustard producing countries such as European Union, China and Canada, he said.

Dr Sidhu said that the production of rapeseed-mustard in the country was estimated at 7.1 million tonnes with area under the crop increasing by 11% at 7.2 million hectares compared to the last year. Rajasthan the leading mustard producing state in India contributing about 45% of total production followed by Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Gujarat and West Bengal. Hapur, Jaipur, Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai, Indore, Alwar, Bharatpur and Sri Ganganagar were the major trading centres for this crop.

In Punjab, the area and production of rapeseed-mustard slightly increased from 27,000 hectares and 35,000 tonnes during 2009-10 to 28,000 hectares and 38,000 tonnes during 2010-11 respectively. The major proportion of the area is concentrated in districts of Ferozepur, Bathinda, Gurdaspur, Hoshiarpur and Mansa. Most of the rapeseed-mustard produce is marketed during April and May.